The command of the enemy troops is gradually changing priorities in the use of routes for the supply of supplies for the needs of its group of troops operating in the Starobelsk direction. This is reported military expert Konstantin Mashovets.
“Recently, the main communications were chosen: the route Belolutsk - Novopskov - Starobelsk - Novaya Astrakhan (for a group in the Kremennaya - Rubizhnoye, that is, the Liman direction) and Belolutsk - Novopskov - Starobelsk - Mostiki, as well as Velikotsk - Belovodsk - Starobelsk - Gorodok, that is, Kupyanskoye direction), parts of cargo and reserves are also rushing through Belokurakino.
The route through Troitskoye - Pokrovskoye - Nizhnyaya Duvanka was recognized as “limitedly safe”, therefore the enemy uses it partially and in a special mode. It is required to organize the protection of logistics convoys and combat guards during the movement of personnel and weapons and military equipment of mobile units.
In the area of Zhilivka, the enemy, using two reinforced companies, is trying to organize a battalion defense area in a northwestern direction. The enemy’s previous attempts to counterattack towards Yampolevka ended in vain for him.
Finally, two “streltsy battalions of the mobilization reserve” of the 1st AK did crawl into this area. Most likely, they will also be deployed with a front to the west, north-west for operations in the direction west of Chervonopopovka and Peschanoe.
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According to the expert, it is important that the command of the enemy troops in this direction, completely ignoring the situation on its northern flank, which gradually continues to deteriorate for it, is stubbornly trying to organize an offensive to the south, towards Torsky and Liman.
“Here is one of two. Or the rashists were ordered at any cost and under any conditions to go to the flank of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which are now defending in the area of Belogorovka - Grigorovka - Serebryanka. Or to such actions, bordering on common sense, they are pushed by the hypothetical plan of the Russian command there, which involves “removing the immediate threat of Kremennaya and Lisichanskaya by counteroffensive on Liman and Seversk.” In both cases, for the Russian strike tactical group, which is constantly trying to break through to the west and southwest of Kremennaya, any attempts to advance to Liman are like trying to stick a limb under a working pneumatic press in the hope of having time to grab the stamping before the press is again on it. will fall.
The military command and control bodies of the Russian UV, operating in the Bakhmut direction, the military commandant service and military counter-intelligence structures received an unambiguous order to stop cases of “unauthorized abandonment of positions by groups of military personnel, including with weapons. sl in the tactical and operational-tactical rear of the grouping. It is interesting that these instructions were received at the above addresses a week ago, but the mobile mobile groups of the Russian military prosecutor’s office, which must draw up all this in the “established order” according to the list of norms and provisions of Russian legislation, began to form only yesterday..
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In fact, Mashovets believes, the Russian military command, all this time, had the opportunity to do with its own detained military deserters whatever hits it in the head or wants to. Moreover, the corresponding contingent from among the mercenaries of the so-called pvk generally fell into the category.permanently missing“.
“The detained “Wagnerites” - deserters, or those who turned around in the rear, avoiding their real participation in hostilities under any reason, were not taken into account at all and did not count. The situation became even more “grotesque” when “clean concrete” pvk personnel under escort began to be massively brought into the war zone … It is obvious that some of these convicted “patriots” simply fled and rushed into the depths of Russia“.
As for the Zaporozhye direction, according to the expert, during the current week, the enemy command in the Melitopol direction has been intensively transferring building materials, housing modules, reinforced concrete barrier structures to the Tokmak area, focusing on engineering and fortification work.
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“In particular, at least 12 large convoys with the materials and structures mentioned above have passed through the Melitopol region to the north over the past 6 days. The Russians are dragging everything they need to set up defensive positions there. By all indications, the Russian command is quite lively creating in the areas of Vasilyevka, Tokmak, south of Polog and near Chernigovka, several defense areas at once outside the range of the bulk of the field artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine“.
Recall that Russia loses about 100 soldiers a day in the battle for Bakhmut.
Source: Fakty
